Energetikos plėtotės iki 2015 m. strategija

LTEnergetikos plėtotės iki 2015 m. strategija išreiškia pagrindines valstybės nuostatas ir jų įgyvendinimo kryptis modernizuojant šalies energetikos ūkį, visapusiškai priderinant jį prie augančių ūkio šakų poreikių ir naujausių tarptautinių reikalavimų ekonomiškumo, patikimumo, aplinkosaugos ir valdymo tobulinimo aspektais. Jau pradiniu šios strategijos įgyvendinimo laikotarpiu Lietuvos energetika bus visiškai priderinta prie Europos Sąjungos reikalavimų ir galės integruotis į bendrą Europos energetikos struktūrą. [Iš teksto, p. 360]Reikšminiai žodžiai: Strategija; Šalies ūkis; Vizija; Misija; Strateginiai tikslai; Veiksmai; Priemonės; Strategy; Country's economy; Vision; Mission; Strategic goals; Actions; Measures.

ENIn the introductory part of the strategy for the development of energy until 2015 the specifications of the present-day energy sector are given: strengths and weaknesses, opportunities for further development, which are expedient to be used, and threats, which are necessary to be reduced as much as possible. A vision of the energy sector and State mission, i.e., the main provisions and trends of State activities, which would allow the implementation of the desirable development of energy, are also formulated. The main strategic goals are identified with the consideration taken of essential requirements and provisions of the European Association Agreement, the Energy Charter Agreement, and other international agreements in the field of energy. Special attention in the strategy is devoted to the identification of the main trends in the development of the energy sector. A number of factors, both external and internal, will have an effect on the development of Lithuania’s economy in the future. In preparing this strategy three scenarios of economic growth will be possible: 1) fast economic growth scenario (5.7 percent per year, on the average, in 2000-2015); 2) the main scenario (4.1 percent); 3) slow economic growth scenario (2.3 percent). Forecasts for the needs of energy for the said economic scenarios are prepared with the application of the MAED model, taking into consideration the expected structural changes in the GDP, energy intensity changes, the development of social indices, and other factors, having an effect on the changes in the consumption of energy. The duration of exploitation of the Ignalina NPP will have an essential effect on the development of the electric energy system. On the basis of optimisation calculations, performed with the use of the WASP-4 model, the strategy presents a detailed analysis of different scenarios for the shutdown of the nuclear power plant and expenses of its replacement by other electric power plants.Seeking to ensure the lowest expenses for the development of the electric energy system and higher reliability of energy supply the Electric Power Plant of Lithuania and thermal electric power plants of Vilnius and Kaunas should be modernised. After 2010, it is expedient to solve the problem of satisfying the increased needs of energy primarily by constructing new thermal electric power plants. Strategic provisions are presented in the strategy also concerning the trends of development of othet energy sectors (heat supply, natural gas, oil and its products, local, renewable and waste energy resources). In the final part of the strategy the main provisions concerning the increase of the efficiency of energy consumption, reduction of a negative effect on the environment, improvement of energy management and market liberalisation are formulated. The implementation of these provisions will have a great impact on the further development of energy. The strateg)' recommends the Government to prepare the programme for preparation of energy specialists in compliance with modern requirements and to support priority trends in scientific research. [From the publication]