Darbo rinkos raidos tendencijų vertinimas Lietuvoje: jaunimo padėties lyginamoji analizė

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Collection:
Mokslo publikacijos / Scientific publications
Document Type:
Straipsnis / Article
Language:
Lietuvių kalba / Lithuanian
Title:
Darbo rinkos raidos tendencijų vertinimas Lietuvoje: jaunimo padėties lyginamoji analizė
Authors:
In the Journal:
Regional formation and development studies. 2024, Nr. 1 (42), p. 86-100
Subject Category:
LT
Darbo rinka / Labour market; Užimtumas / Employment; Jaunimas / Youth.
Summary / Abstract:

LTAtsižvelgiant į darbo rinkos raidos netolygumus, siekiama įvertinti bendrųjų nedarbo rodiklių raidos tendencijas Lietuvoje. Esminis šiame darbe išskirtų gyventojų grupių situacijos darbo rinkoje diferenciacijos požymis – amžius. Tačiau prioritetas čia teikiamas jaunimui. Kitas ryškus tyrimo prioritetas – nedarbas, nors plačiau analizuoti ir aktyvumo bei užimtumo rodikliai. Siekiant užtikrinti tyrime atliktos stebėsenos sistemiškumą, atlikta Valstybės duomenų agentūros (Lietuvos statistikos departamento) ir Užimtumo tarnybos nedarbo rodiklių lyginamoji analizė. Vertinant nedarbo (bedarbių skaičiaus) pokyčius, išskirtos paskiros jiems poveikį darančios veiksnių grupės. Vertinimo sistemiškumas užtikrinamas ir lyginant priešingas raidos kryptis išreiškiančių darbo rinkos rodiklių santykinius dydžius (užimtumo ir nedarbo), suteikiant jiems tiesioginę lyginamąją raišką. Maksimalus tyrime naudojamas laiko intervalas apima 1998–2021 m. laikotarpio statistinius ir administracinius duomenis. Kita vertus, siekiant ypač akcentuoti ankstesnės pandemijos poveikį, stebimų pasikeitimų tendencijų specifiką ir atsižvelgiant į duomenų disponavimo galimybes, straipsnyje išryškinami ir trumpalaikiai pokyčiai (iki 2022 m.), kurie apima 2–6 metų laikotarpį. Pagrindiniai žodžiai: nedarbo lygis, užimtumas, ekonominis aktyvumas, darbo rinka, jaunimas, integracija. [Iš leidinio]

ENTaking into account the uneven development of labour market trends, the article aims to evaluate the trends in the development of general unemployment indicators in Lithuania. Age is an essential feature in the differentiation of the situation of the population groups identified in this work in the labour market. However, the priority in this article is given to young people. Another prominent priority of the research is unemployment, although activity and employment indicators were also widely analysed. In order to ensure the systematicity of the analysis carried out in the study, a comparative analysis of unemployment indicators from the Department of Statistics and the Employment Service was carried out. When evaluating changes in unemployment (the number of unemployed), separate groups of factors influencing them were distinguished. The systematicity of the assessment in the article is also ensured by comparing the relative sizes of labour market indicators (employment and unemployment) expressing opposite directions of development, providing them with a direct comparative expression. The maximum time interval used in the study covers statistical data for the period 1998 to 2021. On the other hand, in order to particularly emphasise the impact of the previous economic crisis, the specifics of observed trends in change, and taking into account the possibilities for data disposal, the article also highlights short-term changes (until 2020), which cover a period of two to five years. Against the background of the changes observed in the situation in the labour market, the problem of unemployment among young people remains especially difficult.Although the development of youth labour market indicators is characterised by extremely high development dynamism, and in 2021 the changes in the situation in the labour market were quite favourable, at the present time, the phenomenon of economic overheating is worrying: extremely high inflation in Lithuania (rapid price rises), which has its own growth limits, because due to a decrease in the population’s pay demands, the turnover of the country’s businesses may also decrease and, at the same time, unemployment may increase (especially among young people). Keywords: unemployment rate, employment, economic activity, labour market, youth, integration. [From the publication]

DOI:
10.15181/RFDS.V42I1.2604
ISSN:
2029-9370; 2351-6542
Subject:
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Permalink:
https://www.lituanistika.lt/content/111036
Updated:
2024-10-10 20:02:01
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